When two clubs with contrasting histories and ambitions meet on the pitch, the numbers often tell as compelling a story as the goals. In this article, we delve into the clash between Crystal Palace and Liverpool — two Premier League teams whose encounters have provided drama, surprise and statistical intrigue. We will explore their head-to-head record, uncover recent form trends, examine key statistical measures (goals scored and conceded, possession, shots, etc.), and highlight what those numbers mean for upcoming fixtures. Whether you’re a fan of the Eagles or the Reds, or simply seeking insight into one of English football’s recurring match-ups, this deep dive will equip you with the context behind the results.
Head-to-Head Record
When analyzing the all-time record between Crystal Palace and Liverpool, a clear pattern emerges: Liverpool hold the upper hand. According to data, in 28 meetings the Reds have won 17 times, while Palace have won 6, and the remaining 5 ended in draws.In more recent Premier League‐only metrics, Liverpool are recorded as W20 D6 L7 (goal differential +37) in their matches against Palace all-time.
Such dominance suggests that Liverpool historically come into the fixture with a psychological edge. However, this does not mean that Palace are helpless: the Eagles have chalked up memorable victories, inflicted recent upsets, and made sure that every meeting carries its own unpredictability.
Recent Form & Key Encounters
Looking at more recent trends, some things stand out. For example, in the ten most recent Premier League meetings between the two clubs, Liverpool’s record stands at W5 D3 L2, with a goal differential of +7. This suggests that while Liverpool still win more often than not, Palace are increasingly competitive — capable of drawing and even beating the Reds.
One of the most telling matches is the 2025-26 season start. In the 2025 FA Community Shield, Crystal Palace drew 2-2 with Liverpool and then beat them 3-2 on penalties.Then, in a subsequent Premier League match on 27 September 2025, Palace secured a dramatic 2-1 win over Liverpool thanks to a stoppage-time goal by Eddie Nketiah.
These recent contests show that the dynamic may be shifting: Liverpool still have superiority historically, but Palace are closing the gap in competitive fixtures.
Statistical Trends: Goals, Possession and Match Patterns
Goals scored & conceded
From a goals perspective, matches between these two sides frequently deliver. In the 28-meeting sample cited earlier, 24 of 28 games produced over 1.5 goals, 19 produced over 2.5 goals, and 10 produced over 3.5 goals. That indicates that Palace vs Liverpool tends to be open and goal-rich.
Specifically, Liverpool’s goal scoring in those historical head-to-heads is 58 goals, while Palace have 32 goals.In terms of recent matches (2025 data) for example: in the Community Shield, possession was 59.4 % for Liverpool vs 40.6 % for Palace, shot attempts 12 vs 14 and corner kicks 2 vs 5.
Possession, shots & other metrics
Examining more granular metrics, we find that in matches between the sides: Liverpool average possession around 64%, Palace around 49% when considering sample data.Shots per match: Liverpool average ~17.1 shots per match versus Palace ~14.1 in the direct-match sample. Shots on target per match for each stand around 5.2/5.0.
From a defensive perspective, Palace have tended to concede at a slightly lower rate in their away games (in the direct sample) compared to Liverpool conceding at home in these specific match-ups. For example, Palace concede ~1 goal per match, while Liverpool concede ~1.5 in these head-to-head numbers.
Match timing and other patterns
Interesting patterns emerge when we look at timing of goals. The data show for example that Liverpool concede in the 81-90 minute window at a rate of ~27% in these match-ups; Palace score ~33% of their goals in the 81-90 minute portion.This suggests that late drama is far from unusual between these teams.
Another pattern: in matches between them, the “Both Teams To Score (BTTS)” rate is high (≈ 65%) and the “Over 2.5 goals” rate ~65% as well. Taken together, the numbers suggest that expect both sides to score and expect goals if these clubs meet.
Storylines for the Upcoming Encounter
Given these statistics and recent results, several storylines stand out for an upcoming Palace vs Liverpool fixture:
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Can Crystal Palace build on recent wins? Although historically the underdog, Palace have shown they can punch above their weight — especially against Liverpool in recent fixtures. Their late-winner victory and Community Shield success are confidence boosters.
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Will Liverpool reassert dominance? While Liverpool have the historical advantage, their recent form has had stutters. They enter such games under more pressure to perform. Their possession and shot metrics suggest one thing, but recent defensive lapses (late goals conceded, set-piece vulnerability) suggest risk.
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Expect goals and late drama. The data indicate high probability of scoring, and late goals are common. Thus, fans and bettors/analysts alike should be prepared for action even in the final minutes.
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Tactical nuances matter. With the possession and shot metrics favouring Liverpool, Palace may adopt a more counter-attacking or set-piece oriented approach. The stats around conceded goals and timing suggest they might succeed if Liverpool drop focus late.
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Impact of home advantage and psychological momentum. While home advantage usually favours Liverpool (Anfield), the psychological boost from recent upsets by Palace could inject uncertainty. Stats don’t always account for momentum or morale.
What It Means for Betting, Prediction & Fan Expectations
For fans, the statistical profile offers several take-aways: expect an open game, expect both sides to score, and stay alert for late goals. For betting or prediction purposes, the high BTTS rate and Over 2.5 goals trend between the clubs suggest value in “both teams to score” markets or “over 2.5 goals”. The data around late goals also suggests that results may not be settled until deep into the match.
Prediction (based on the data + context): If Liverpool bring their usual shot-volume and possession dominance and shore up defensive concentration, they should edge the tie. However, if Palace replicate their recent counter-attack/set-piece efficiency and maintain composure late on, they could upset. A 2-1 or 3-2 result either way fits the profile.
Conclusion
The statistical showdown between Crystal Palace and Liverpool reveals a fascinating interplay of historic dominance, evolving form, and tactical nuance. Liverpool clearly hold the advantage in head-to-head terms and in key metrics such as possession and shots. Nevertheless, the recent emergence of Crystal Palace as a sneaky threat — capable of late winners and dramatic results — demands that no assumption of superiority be made. With the numbers pointing toward goals, both teams scoring, and late drama being far from rare, any upcoming encounter promises to be compelling. Whether you’re a die-hard fan or simply enjoy analysing football stats, this fixture offers rich insight into how data and narrative collide on the pitch.
FAQ
Q1: What is the all-time head-to-head record between Crystal Palace and Liverpool?
A1: In one sample covering 28 matches, Liverpool have 17 wins, Crystal Palace 6 wins, and 5 draws. In another dataset focusing on Premier League matches, Liverpool are recorded as 20 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses versus Palace with a +37 goal differential.
Q2: How often do both teams score when Crystal Palace face Liverpool?
A2: The “Both Teams To Score (BTTS)” rate in the sample data for this fixture pairing is around 65%.
Q3: Are games between these two clubs high-scoring?
A3: Yes — in the head-to-head data, 19 of the 28 matches had over 2.5 goals.So statistically you can expect at least 3 goals in many of their matches.
Q4: Does home advantage matter in this fixture?
A4: While Liverpool at home typically have the dynamics of higher possession and shot counts, recent results suggest that Palace are capable of winning away or producing strong performances even when not favourites. The stats show Liverpool dominate generally, but that doesn’t guarantee home wins.
Q5: What are key stats to watch for upcoming matches between these teams?
A5: Some key indicators:
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Possession: if Liverpool dominate >60% possession, expect them to control the game.
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Shots / shots on target: Liverpool’s average ~17 shots per match in the head-to-head sample.
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Late goals: a significant share of goals occur in the 81-90 minute window.
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Opponent scoring: given the high BTTS rate, whether Palace can find the net will often decide the outcome.
